Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 10.561643 12.387928 14.387760 16.733788 19.403807 22.341101 25.809877
2025-06-29 7.187796 9.561392 12.443453 16.169403 20.824256 26.410628 33.581019
2025-07-06 5.185454 7.651146 10.906298 15.449490 21.546292 29.355648 40.009780
2025-07-13 4.415532 7.080926 10.840864 16.409647 24.300184 34.910081 50.047143
2025-07-20 3.820761 6.598502 10.752092 17.227787 26.837126 40.294447 60.217213
2025-07-27 3.289792 6.089130 10.506748 17.723344 28.885159 45.089839 69.869796
2025-08-03 2.792546 5.527754 10.073010 17.833096 30.308290 49.030947 78.520458
2025-08-10 2.311499 4.894835 9.413882 17.470188 30.914913 51.743899 85.483944
2025-08-17 1.905410 4.314028 8.745075 16.982038 31.228252 53.972098 91.795426
2025-08-24 1.566251 3.790935 8.092206 16.420512 31.328674 55.820632 97.576040
2025-08-31 1.267202 3.284913 7.388179 15.664551 30.993525 56.894813 102.135053
2025-09-07 1.134150 3.109843 7.295538 16.018978 32.618322 61.292398 112.330598
2025-09-14 0.977045 2.864114 7.059400 16.142129 33.971403 65.557220 122.996815
2025-09-21 0.802054 2.536102 6.604974 15.792704 34.452217 68.425188 131.647679
2025-09-28 0.637448 2.186737 6.036471 15.120942 34.231586 70.014529 138.186087
2025-10-05 0.596311 2.164479 6.217089 16.069697 37.290627 77.771538 156.097464
2025-10-12 0.550752 2.117146 6.328141 16.874338 40.124333 85.293855 174.024314
2025-10-19 0.494757 2.022011 6.302614 17.361308 42.337332 91.782888 190.432528
2025-10-26 0.430069 1.878939 6.126472 17.469154 43.749202 96.815710 204.420222
2025-11-02 0.358123 1.686361 5.779169 17.112678 44.110033 99.800368 214.706345
2025-11-09 0.294211 1.498544 5.405608 16.633202 44.138902 102.105599 223.802177
2025-11-16 0.239230 1.322395 5.027239 16.081693 43.937286 103.908395 231.999144
2025-11-23 0.189508 1.144922 4.603027 15.339290 43.202074 104.532656 237.874366